Kevin Douglas Hoover

Kevin Douglas Hoover

Professor of Philosophy

Contact Information
07B Social Sciences, Box 90097, Durham, NC 27708
Box 90097, Durham, NC 27708-0097
(919) 660-1800


Professor Hoover's research interests include macroeconomics, monetary economics, the history of economics, and the philosophy and methodology of empirical economics. His recent work in economics has focused on the application of causal search methodologies for structural vector autoregression, the history of microfoundational programs in macroeconomics, and Roy Harrod's early work on dynamic macroeconomics. In philosophy, he has concentrated on issues related to causality, especially in economics, and on reductionism -- the philosophical counterpart to microfoundations. Recent publications include:

  • "Trygve Haavelmo's Experimental Methodology and Scenario Analysis in a Cointegrated Vector Autoregression" (Econometric Theory, 2015), 
  • "Reductionism in Economics:  Intentionality and Eschatological Justification in the Microfoundations of Macroeconomics" (Philosophy of Science 2015), 
  • "Mathematical Economics Comes to America:  Charles S. Peirce’s Engagement with Cournot’s Recherches sur les Principes Mathematiques de la Théorie des Richesses" (Journal of the History of Economic Thought, 2015), 
  • "The Genesis of Samuelson and Solow’s Price-Inflation Phillips Curve" (History of Economics Review, 2015), 
  • "Solow's Harrod: Transforming Cyclical Dynamics into a Model of Long-run Growth" (European Journal of the History of Economic Thought 2015), 
  • "In the Kingdom of Solovia:  The Rise of Growth Economics at MIT, 1956-1970" (History of Political Economy 2014), 
  • “Still Puzzling: Evaluating the Price Puzzle in an Empirically Identified Structural Vector Autoregression” (Empirical Economics, 2014),
  • "On the Reception of Haavelmo's Econometric Thought" (Journal of the History of Economic Thought, 2014) – winner of the History of Economics Society Best Paper Award in 2015.  

Education & Training

  • Ph.D., University of Oxford (UK) 1985

  • M.A., University of Oxford (UK) 1983

  • B.A., University of Oxford (UK) 1979

Hoover, K. D. “Fragility and robustness in econometrics: Introduction to the symposium.” Journal of Economic Methodology 13, no. 2 (June 1, 2006): 159–60. Full Text

Hoover, K. D. “A Neowicksellian in a new classical world: The methodology of Michael Woodford's Interest and Prices.” Journal of the History of Economic Thought 28, no. 2 (June 1, 2006): 143–49. Full Text

Hoover, K. D., and S. J. Perez. “Truth and robustness in cross-country growth regressions.” Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 66, no. 5 (December 1, 2004): 767–98. Open Access Copy

De Vroey, M., and K. D. Hoover. “Introduction: Seven decades of the IS-LM model.” History of Political Economy 36, no. SUPPL. (December 1, 2004): 1–11.

Hoover, K. D. “Lost causes.” Journal of the History of Economic Thought 26, no. 2 (June 1, 2004): 149–64. Full Text

Hoover, K. D. “Nonstationary time series, cointegration, and the principle of the common cause.” British Journal for the Philosophy of Science 54, no. 4 (December 1, 2003): 527–51. Full Text

Demiralp, S., and K. D. Hoover. “Searching for the Causal Structure of a Vector Autoregression.” Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics 65, no. SUPPL. (December 1, 2003): 745–67. Full Text